Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 2115.622196 2304.212523 2496.582934 2707.198165 2931.008303 3161.449186 3416.356852
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 1838.186287 2118.391582 2416.104913 2754.831925 3128.373593 3526.582409 3982.012999
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 1633.403402 1964.478525 2327.108501 2751.448467 3231.977556 3756.878009 4371.158365
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 1460.941806 1823.726575 2231.672909 2720.565083 3286.599149 3917.432125 4669.588417
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1353.557394 1745.300383 2195.909539 2746.988050 3396.983423 4133.524822 5025.240122
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1248.355448 1659.682430 2142.982594 2745.234194 3467.758146 4298.883706 5318.981179
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1185.184066 1619.059222 2138.484474 2796.406615 3597.348094 4530.563896 5689.303518
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1095.183079 1538.602127 2079.730566 2776.574880 3637.437925 4653.338075 5929.239841
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1053.307778 1515.624490 2089.077726 2837.887886 3774.321405 4891.100919 6306.911869
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 995.839608 1468.590973 2064.814169 2854.376558 3853.942355 5058.571146 6599.979693
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 937.654679 1416.964301 2031.458842 2856.479271 3913.415707 5200.104120 6861.189069
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 848.511805 1318.707077 1932.902928 2770.418548 3857.724161 5196.307053 6941.400216
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 832.912345 1321.156305 1967.623586 2859.007887 4027.246995 5476.907258 7379.866653
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 803.596663 1302.845210 1973.494271 2909.167215 4147.695466 5697.347667 7746.176164
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 757.179588 1257.590613 1940.533594 2905.635637 4196.902941 5826.961235 7998.636753
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 704.421353 1200.206315 1888.186595 2873.447919 4206.381402 5904.451595 8184.464995
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 675.396116 1176.038497 1880.613017 2900.987109 4294.235222 6082.602001 8499.360918
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 639.001465 1138.818924 1852.840388 2899.159245 4341.721084 6208.013465 8746.964874
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 621.983874 1130.112526 1865.048194 2952.486287 4463.616199 6431.140908 9122.285723
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 584.114832 1087.088371 1825.779711 2931.820695 4483.651943 6519.874915 9323.181124
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 572.839543 1085.226188 1846.268684 2995.707028 4619.740762 6762.675264 9726.774858
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 549.260739 1062.433644 1834.710953 3012.885395 4690.964447 6919.470413 10018.497690
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 523.064555 1034.013352 1813.506512 3015.075991 4740.663468 7047.335874 10272.609114